As of Monday evening, “President-elect Joe Biden [had] named six leaders of his foreign policy and national security teams.” These include Antony Blinken as Secretary of State, Alejandro Mayorkas as Secretary of Homeland Security, Avril Haines as Director of National Intelligence, John Kerry as Special Presidential Envoy for Climate, Jake Sullivan as National Security Adviser, and Linda Thomas-Greenfield as US Ambassador to the United Nations. NPR
The right is critical of Biden’s team.
“Joe Biden has turned to what Obama adviser Ben Rhodes famously called ‘the Blob’—experienced foreign-policy insiders who work comfortably within the key assumptions that have guided U.S. foreign policy since the late 1940s…
“That said, nobody should mistake this for a Republican administration. Mr. Biden’s expected nominees may be centrists, but it is the Democratic mainstream in which they swim. They are, for example, multilateralists not out of pragmatism (like, say, James Baker and George H.W. Bush), but out of conviction… For Team Biden, enhanced international cooperation embodied in rule-driven multilateral institutions is the path, and the only path, to control what many Democrats see as existential menaces to civilization—e.g., nuclear proliferation, great-power wars and climate change.”
Walter Russell Mead, Wall Street Journal
“The concern, for some, over Blinken is not that he is a wild-eyed radical. Rather, it is that his policy views are emblematic of a broader rot within the American establishment— an establishment which has closed ranks in recent days to oppose moves such as leaving Afghanistan. Blinken was among those in the Obama administration, including Secretary of State John Kerry, who advocated privately for ramped-up military action against Syrian strongman Bashar al-Assad…
“Blinken’s critics also note that he was staff director for the Senate Foreign Relations committee in 2002– when Biden was its chairman and the upper chamber, including the future president, assented to the Iraq War.”
Curt Mills, The American Conservative
Similarly, “Sullivan was a key architect of the Obama administration's too-deferential foreign policy structures. Which is to say, its willingness to play softball in the 2013-2015 nuclear negotiations, which culminated with the 2015 JCPOA nuclear deal, its appeasement of China, and its failure to counter exponential increases in Russian aggression… For all of his idiotic praise of Vladimir Putin, Trump has presided over a strengthened NATO, the delivery of lethal arms to Ukraine (which Obama opposed), and the authorization of more aggressive intelligence operations against Moscow…
“[Sullivan] is a good man who wants to do what's best for America. But a man who is wrong on the core concerns. A man who is more comfortable with addressing American enemies with words than confrontation, and with building alliances on the back of requests rather than reciprocity-driven action. In an August conference call, Sullivan hinted that he had little humility or concerns over the Obama administration's failures. Instead, he said, that administration offered an example for Biden to follow.”
Tom Rogan, Washington Examiner
“Trump's ‘America First’ orientation in foreign policy didn't come from nowhere, and didn't triumph at the polls for no reason. It was a blunt response to a foreign policy that appeared to many to have been failing for a quarter century — failing to preserve and enhance American power, and failing to deliver for the American people. In the Balkans and the Baltic states, in Mesopotamia and the Maghreb, and in numerous other places across Europe, Asia, and Africa, America took on more and more open-ended responsibilities… The result, too often, was instability abroad and an increasing strain on America's military…
“Even if Biden's team has learned the essential lesson from the past quarter century, and sets out to rebalance America's international commitments, to set priorities and establish limits, one thing they should have learned from the Obama years is that, in practice, such an effort can look an awful lot like losing. When America pulled out of Iraq and declined to intervene in Syria, ISIS emerged. That doesn't mean that America can't or shouldn't extricate itself from Afghanistan, from Libya, from Yemen — we most certainly can, and we should, because staying is achieving nothing for us. But we can't expect to be rewarded for it.”
Noah Millman, The Week
“The big disappointment is John Kerry as a cabinet-level special envoy for climate. As a negotiator, Mr. Kerry never drives a hard bargain, as his Iran nuclear deal showed. His cabinet status suggests that climate will be a special negotiating priority rather than one issue among many in foreign policy… it is a bad signal if Mr. Biden considers climate to be a leading national security issue. The fracking-led boom in U.S. oil and gas production has enhanced American security in multiple ways…
“It has made the U.S. less dependent on foreign producers and the U.S. economy less hostage to the vagaries of the world oil market. The fall in oil prices, thanks in part to U.S. production, has reduced the clout of dictators in oil-producing countries like Russia’s Vladimir Putin and Venezuela’s Nicolás Maduro. U.S. natural gas sales also enhance America’s exports and economic influence. Mr. Biden has pledged to return the U.S. to the Paris climate accord, which would be a boon to China. Under that agreement the People’s Republic doesn’t have to reduce carbon emissions at all until 2030, while the U.S. will have to impose vast new rules to cut emissions.”
Editorial Board, Wall Street Journal
The left is generally supportive of Biden’s team.
The left is generally supportive of Biden’s team.
“First the good news: Blinken, Flournoy, and Sullivan are not widely remembered by ordinary, non-Beltway people, because they were hypercompetent public servants who tended not to make hilarious, unforced errors. They did not, like the current secretary of state, Mike Pompeo, joke about canceling the result of a U.S. election, or swear at a journalist while quizzing her about world geography. They knew their job and took it seriously—unlike, say, Rick Perry, who discovered only after his nomination as secretary of energy that his main task was to oversee a nuclear arsenal capable of rendering the planet uninhabitable…
“The bad news is that 2016, the last full year in which this hypercompetent team was in power, was a bit of a nightmare, particularly in the Middle East. The Obama administration had learned the lesson of Iraq, where regime change and nation building had failed. Instead it tried supporting Libyan rebels with weapons but not nation building, and supporting Syrian rebels with neither weapons nor nation building. Both countries devolved into apocalyptic messes…
“The real sign of a job well done would be actual restoration of the wholesome vision of American-led idealism that Sullivan has promised, and that his team never quite delivered the last time it was in power.”
Graeme Wood, The Atlantic
“In some ways, Biden’s national security team will resemble that of the Obama administration—where many of them started working in government—but with one crucial difference. At one point of his new memoir, Obama writes about the occasional ‘friction between the new and old guard inside my foreign policy team’—the old guard being the more traditional Cabinet secretaries, the new guard being the young staff, far from firebrands but more idealistic, ‘wanting to break from some of the constraints of the past in pursuit of something better.’…
“Blinken, Sullivan, and Haines were leading figures in Obama’s new guard. Now they’re about to be in Biden’s old guard, and this is likely to tilt policy at least a little bit—especially since, in several of these internal conflicts back then, Biden sided with the young staff. The cleavages weren’t strictly liberal-conservative or dove-hawk. Biden and the young staffers opposed the escalation of the war in Afghanistan—but they supported U.S. military operations to stave off humanitarian disasters, notably in Syria and Libya. If past is precedent, the Biden years may see fewer big wars but more humanitarian interventions.”
Fred Kaplan, Slate
“Blinken is already being greeted by soft profiles focusing on his diplomatic career, his youthful days spent in Europe, and his love of guitar. But for a better sense of how he might actually craft foreign policy, it is essential to look at his recent work as a strategic consultant, a brand of Washington influence-peddling that has gotten little scrutiny… This summer, I interviewed 60 Washington insiders as I investigated how Blinken’s firm parlays connections into profit…
“Blinken launched WestExec Advisors with fellow Obama national-security chiefs in 2018. WestExec’s very name—a reference to the avenue that runs along the White House—suggested that its founders were trading off of their recent experience in the Oval Office and were angling for positions in the next administration…
“Who was the firm advising? WestExec staffers cited nondisclosure agreements and declined to name clients. But in conversations with members of the firm, I learned that Blinken and Flournoy used their networks to build a large client base at the intersection of tech and defense. An Israeli surveillance startup turned to them. So did a major U.S. defense company. Google billionaire Eric Schmidt and Fortune 100 companies went to them, too… One key thing to watch for is which clients Blinken will reveal in financial disclosures and Senate confirmation hearings.”
Jonathan Guyer, American Prospect
“Joe Biden is not a hard lefty, so it’s hardly surprising to see him choosing pretty mainstream aides so far… What’s more, I’m willing to cut him substantial slack with national security appointments. There is, literally, no progressive wing of the national security establishment with any real influence…
“Behind all the yelling and screaming, Democrats and Republicans are pretty much the same on NatSec issues, with smallish differences on the margin and not much else. This means that even if Biden did appoint someone more progressive, they’d just run into a brick wall of opposition: in the White House, in Congress, in the intelligence agencies, in the military, and in think tanks…
“In other areas, there are big differences between Democrats and Republicans and there are plenty of progressives with real clout. We should expect to see some riskier appointments at Labor, HHS, Energy, EPA, and so forth. If we don’t, it would mean Biden is basically kissing off the progressive wing of the party. We’ll start to hear more about those appointments in early December, and that’s when we’ll truly be able to get a concrete idea of just what Biden’s administration will look like.”
Kevin Drum, Mother Jones